Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.330700 1.603005 1.937501 2.385808 2.982255 3.765519 4.901876e+00
2025-01-05 0.956564 1.270649 1.713234 2.410115 3.537042 5.406328 9.050015e+00
2025-01-12 0.737821 1.042660 1.512528 2.340284 3.890502 7.010518 1.504902e+01
2025-01-19 0.607148 0.897721 1.376685 2.298069 4.247698 8.919451 2.493964e+01
2025-01-26 0.547667 0.845866 1.370911 2.476149 5.145321 12.998724 5.282529e+01
2025-02-02 0.495330 0.792356 1.344383 2.599049 6.011742 18.299034 1.175066e+02
2025-02-09 0.441474 0.724614 1.272426 2.592987 6.545438 23.520690 2.499125e+02
2025-02-16 0.392295 0.656576 1.183915 2.515233 6.823133 28.418056 5.281200e+02
2025-02-23 0.362058 0.619424 1.151295 2.568223 7.606232 38.508243 1.950401e+03
2025-03-02 0.340321 0.595258 1.141276 2.679902 8.742606 56.122650 2.412363e+04
2025-03-09 0.315853 0.561822 1.103280 2.697806 9.531415 75.998867 4.085346e+09
2025-03-16 0.288353 0.518480 1.034151 2.597478 9.690944 90.766362 NaN
2025-03-23 0.274093 0.501954 1.028288 2.706605 11.146322 144.237068 NaN
2025-03-30 0.257328 0.477957 0.999772 2.731770 12.214555 214.844183 NaN
2025-04-06 0.238036 0.446138 0.945870 2.648612 12.521202 277.716628 NaN
2025-04-13 0.222254 0.420498 0.904199 2.598726 13.055626 383.190286 NaN
2025-04-20 0.217303 0.418872 0.926580 2.808641 16.066391 972.648892 NaN
2025-04-27 0.210251 0.411470 0.931707 2.954016 18.974301 2738.215183 NaN
2025-05-04 0.199309 0.393624 0.904006 2.946833 20.395234 6230.767518 NaN
2025-05-11 0.187099 0.371570 0.860813 2.854819 20.722519 11632.635065 NaN
2025-05-18 0.179953 0.361178 0.850799 2.917510 23.295515 80743.739897 NaN
2025-05-25 0.174929 0.355493 0.854154 3.049868 27.479951 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.167768 0.343754 0.836904 3.071117 30.138958 NaN NaN